Barmbek-Uhlenhorst vs St. Pauli II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
72.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barmbek-Uhlenhorst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2011 |
BUC
2 - 0
BAR
72%
18%
11%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
WTS
2 - 1
BAR
37%
24%
38%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 1
BER
23%
23%
54%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
MEI
4 - 2
BAR
67%
19%
14%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
3 - 0
BRA
73%
17%
10%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
STP
6 - 0
BRA
86%
10%
4%
|
42 | 12 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
STP
2 - 3
CON
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
CUR
0 - 3
STP
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
STP
3 - 1
EIN
77%
14%
9%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
STP
4 - 0
NIE
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |