Barmbek-Uhlenhorst vs Rugenbergen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barmbek-Uhlenhorst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
NIE
3 - 4
BAR
16%
21%
64%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 2
SUD
63%
19%
18%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
VHG
0 - 1
BAR
56%
21%
23%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 0
KOS
68%
18%
15%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
HAL
2 - 2
BAR
30%
24%
47%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Rugenbergen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
RUG
1 - 2
DAS
15%
21%
64%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
BUC
3 - 0
RUG
76%
15%
8%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
RUG
0 - 2
WED
26%
22%
52%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ALT
4 - 3
RUG
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
RUG
1 - 1
TUR
52%
20%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |