Barmbek-Uhlenhorst vs Elmshorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
56.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barmbek-Uhlenhorst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
PIN
1 - 1
BAR
70%
17%
13%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 2
CON
16%
21%
63%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ALT
3 - 3
BAR
77%
15%
9%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 1
BER
27%
23%
51%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
GER
2 - 0
BAR
76%
15%
10%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Elmshorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 4
ELM
27%
24%
49%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
ELM
4 - 1
MEI
52%
22%
25%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SVL
1 - 2
ELM
46%
23%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
ELM
2 - 1
CUR
29%
24%
47%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
NIE
1 - 2
ELM
54%
22%
24%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |