Barleben vs Wismut Gera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
64.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barleben
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ILE
3 - 1
BAR
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 2
VFL
56%
20%
24%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BIS
2 - 1
BAR
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
MAR
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SCH
0 - 0
BAR
54%
20%
26%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Wismut Gera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
WIS
2 - 0
ILE
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
VFL
0 - 2
WIS
14%
17%
69%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
WIS
0 - 1
BIS
53%
24%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 3
WIS
12%
17%
71%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
WIS
1 - 0
SCH
81%
12%
7%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |