Barleben vs Wismut Gera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
64.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barleben
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ROT
1 - 1
BAR
71%
17%
13%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Wismut Gera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ILE
2 - 2
WIS
17%
23%
60%
|
64 | 34 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
WIS
3 - 3
MAR
75%
16%
8%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2000 |
WIS
0 - 0
WAC
67%
20%
14%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +29 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
ERF
2 - 3
WIS
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
WIS
0 - 1
FMW
68%
19%
12%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |