Barleben vs Carl Zeiss Jena II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
35%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barleben
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
EIN
0 - 5
BAR
14%
18%
68%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 2
UNI
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
LOK
23%
26%
51%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
EIN
1 - 3
BAR
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
5 - 1
PLA
41%
22%
38%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Carl Zeiss Jena II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
UNI
67%
17%
16%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PLA
4 - 4
CAR
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
6 - 1
ROT
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
LOK
0 - 0
CAR
72%
18%
10%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
BIS
20%
23%
57%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +2 |