Barleben vs Askania Bernburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
17.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barleben
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
EIN
1 - 0
BAR
48%
23%
30%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 2
CAR
50%
22%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 2
BAR
37%
23%
40%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
LOK
5 - 2
BAR
75%
17%
8%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -3 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
BAR
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Askania Bernburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ASB
0 - 2
ILE
18%
20%
62%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
VFL
0 - 3
ASB
63%
19%
18%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
ASB
1 - 2
BIS
13%
18%
69%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
ASB
1 - 3
PLA
37%
22%
41%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
ROT
1 - 6
ASB
71%
16%
13%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |