Barleben vs Askania Bernburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
22.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barleben
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
VFL
3 - 2
BAR
68%
18%
15%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 3
SCH
73%
16%
12%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
4 - 0
BAR
67%
18%
16%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 1
EIN
73%
15%
11%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 0
BAR
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Askania Bernburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SCH
3 - 0
ASB
37%
23%
41%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ASB
1 - 0
EIN
65%
18%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
EIN
1 - 0
ASB
52%
22%
26%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ASB
3 - 1
WIS
13%
21%
66%
|
22 | 63 | 41 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ILE
3 - 1
ASB
73%
16%
12%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |