SSC Bari Sub 19 vs Virtus Entella Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
39.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
12º
11º
47
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
79.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
70% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MNP
1 - 0
BAR
24%
21%
55%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 2
CCS
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PER
2 - 3
BAR
58%
19%
23%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BAR
5 - 4
PIS
31%
22%
47%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SAL
2 - 2
BAR
41%
22%
37%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
VIR
0 - 1
ASC
40%
24%
37%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
PER
3 - 3
VIR
46%
22%
32%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
VIR
0 - 0
PAL
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SAL
2 - 1
VIR
25%
23%
53%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
VIR
4 - 2
SPE
50%
23%
27%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |