SSC Bari U19 vs Spezia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
25.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
12º
11º
35
7º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
79.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
70% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PES
1 - 2
BAR
37%
22%
42%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
4 - 3
ASC
24%
21%
55%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
PER
5 - 3
BAR
49%
21%
30%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CRO
0 - 2
BAR
51%
21%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
PAD
1 - 2
BAR
33%
23%
45%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Spezia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SPE
0 - 2
PAL
57%
21%
23%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 1
SPE
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CES
3 - 1
SPE
23%
21%
55%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SPE
1 - 2
VIR
43%
23%
35%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SPE
4 - 1
BEN
44%
24%
33%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |