Bargh Shiraz vs Esteghlal Ahvaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bargh Shiraz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
DAM
3 - 1
BAR
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 2
ZOB
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
NAT
1 - 1
BAR
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
BAR
0 - 1
PAY
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 2
PAY
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Esteghlal Ahvaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
EST
2 - 1
PER
44%
27%
30%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
SEP
2 - 1
EST
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
EST
3 - 1
SAI
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
PAS
5 - 1
EST
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
EST
0 - 2
ZOB
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |