BVV Barendrecht vs HHC Hardenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
1º
6º
5º
9
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
10 | 69 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 62 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 59 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 59 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
12 | 58 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 56 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 54 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 49 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 49 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 47 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
9 | 46 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 43 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 41 |
13º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 37 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 35 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 31 |
16º
|
15.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 31 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 25 |
18º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
10.5% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 8.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BVV Barendrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ASW
2 - 3
BAR
19%
20%
61%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 4
SCF
79%
13%
8%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SMI
1 - 2
BAR
16%
19%
65%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 2
USV
42%
23%
36%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 3
SPA
53%
21%
26%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
HHC Hardenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HHC
3 - 0
HSC
45%
23%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HHC
1 - 0
JON
39%
22%
39%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
STA
0 - 1
HHC
30%
23%
48%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
IJS
8 - 2
HHC
47%
22%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
HHC
6 - 2
QUI
73%
17%
11%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |