BVV Barendrecht vs ARC Alphense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BVV Barendrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
HAR
3 - 0
BAR
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 0
BAR
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 2
SPA
33%
25%
42%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 0
HIL
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BAR
3 - 3
GVV
51%
25%
25%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ARC
2 - 3
HHC
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SPA
6 - 2
ARC
75%
15%
10%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
ARC
1 - 1
MON
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
EXC
4 - 2
ARC
55%
22%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
ARC
6 - 2
QUI
34%
24%
42%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |