BVV Barendrecht vs Amsterdamsche FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
33.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
8º
7º
39
3º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
43 | 70 |
1º
|
48% | |
|
1º
|
45 | 69 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 63 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 63 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 62 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 62 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 50 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 50 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 44 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 43 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 41 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 39 |
14º
|
23% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 32 |
15º
|
41.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 27 |
16º
|
57% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 20 |
17º
|
44% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 20 |
18º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0.5% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 94% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BVV Barendrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
BAR
1 - 2
KAT
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
ACV
0 - 1
BAR
27%
24%
49%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BAR
2 - 0
EXC
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
NOO
1 - 0
BAR
22%
20%
58%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
HHC
3 - 1
BAR
27%
24%
49%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Amsterdamsche FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
AFC
1 - 1
DET
55%
23%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ADO
1 - 3
AFC
14%
21%
65%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
AFC
1 - 4
KAT
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ACV
3 - 2
AFC
20%
24%
56%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 8
UTR
17%
21%
62%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |