Bahrain vs Tajikistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
SYR
2 - 2
BHR
49%
25%
27%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
KGZ
1 - 2
BHR
13%
21%
66%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2004 |
BHR
1 - 0
PLE
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2004 |
BHR
0 - 0
KWT
33%
26%
41%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
IRN
4 - 2
BHR
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Tajikistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
TJK
2 - 1
KGZ
69%
18%
13%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
TJK
0 - 1
SYR
21%
21%
58%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2004 |
SYR
2 - 1
TJK
74%
16%
10%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
TJK
0 - 0
BHR
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
KGZ
1 - 2
TJK
31%
24%
45%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |