Bahrain vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
51.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
BHR
1 - 0
JPN
8%
16%
76%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
HKG
1 - 3
BHR
11%
20%
69%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
OMA
2 - 0
BHR
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2009 |
BHR
0 - 1
KWT
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
BHR
3 - 1
IRQ
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
SYR
1 - 1
KOR
22%
26%
52%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
KSA
0 - 2
KOR
37%
28%
36%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
QAT
1 - 1
KOR
25%
27%
49%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
KOR
4 - 1
UAE
67%
21%
11%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
KOR
3 - 0
UZB
62%
23%
15%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |