WC Play Offs Final
Global 0-1
Bahrain vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
KSA
2 - 2
BHR
58%
25%
17%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
BHR
0 - 0
KSA
39%
27%
33%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2009 |
BHR
4 - 2
IRN
28%
27%
45%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
BHR
2 - 1
KEN
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
BHR
1 - 0
UZB
50%
24%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
JOR
1 - 3
NZL
48%
27%
26%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
IRQ
0 - 0
NZL
69%
19%
13%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
RSA
2 - 0
NZL
67%
20%
14%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
NZL
0 - 5
ESP
1%
7%
92%
|
70 | 100 | 30 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
ITA
4 - 3
NZL
76%
17%
6%
|
70 | 98 | 28 | 0 |