Bahrain vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
56.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.6%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2004 |
BHR
3 - 1
KWT
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2004 |
OMA
3 - 2
BHR
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2004 |
BHR
3 - 0
KSA
29%
29%
43%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2004 |
BHR
1 - 1
KWT
35%
26%
40%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
BHR
1 - 1
YEM
81%
14%
6%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
KWT
1 - 1
NOR
20%
26%
54%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2004 |
AUS
2 - 2
NOR
32%
28%
40%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
NOR
3 - 0
SVN
69%
20%
11%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
SCO
0 - 1
NOR
32%
28%
40%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
NOR
1 - 1
BLR
88%
9%
3%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |