Bahrain vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
61.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
AUS
0 - 1
BHR
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
UAE
1 - 1
BHR
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
BHR
0 - 0
YEM
81%
13%
6%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
BHR
3 - 0
NPL
86%
11%
3%
|
73 | 33 | 40 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
NPL
0 - 5
BHR
8%
19%
74%
|
73 | 33 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
JPN
7 - 0
CHN
80%
13%
7%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
JPN
5 - 0
SYR
86%
10%
4%
|
90 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
MMR
0 - 5
JPN
5%
15%
80%
|
90 | 36 | 54 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
PRK
0 - 3
JPN
9%
19%
71%
|
90 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
JPN
1 - 0
PRK
86%
10%
4%
|
90 | 68 | 22 | 0 |