Bahrain vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
46.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
KSA
4 - 0
BHR
64%
23%
14%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
BHR
1 - 2
AZE
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
QAT
1 - 1
BHR
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
BHR
2 - 3
JPN
20%
26%
54%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
UAE
2 - 3
BHR
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
AUS
4 - 0
QAT
64%
23%
13%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
UZB
0 - 1
AUS
27%
28%
45%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
NED
1 - 2
AUS
74%
18%
8%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
AUS
2 - 2
RSA
61%
24%
16%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
AUS
0 - 1
CHN
60%
24%
16%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |