Bahrain vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
PRK
2 - 0
BHR
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
BHR
2 - 0
PHL
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
BHR
0 - 4
UZB
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
YEM
0 - 4
BHR
13%
21%
66%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
BHR
0 - 1
PRK
49%
26%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
MKD
0 - 1
LBN
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
LBN
7 - 0
LAO
72%
17%
10%
|
60 | 30 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
KWT
0 - 0
LBN
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
MMR
0 - 2
LBN
18%
23%
60%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
LBN
0 - 3
KOR
20%
25%
55%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | -1 |