Bahrain vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.2%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.1%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
9%
2.8%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
BHR
4 - 0
YEM
88%
9%
3%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
NZL
1 - 0
BHR
24%
25%
52%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
BHR
5 - 1
TOG
71%
19%
11%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BHR
0 - 0
NZL
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
KSA
2 - 2
BHR
58%
25%
17%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
HKG
0 - 4
JPN
4%
12%
85%
|
54 | 92 | 38 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2009 |
JPN
6 - 0
HKG
92%
7%
1%
|
54 | 92 | 38 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
HKG
12 - 0
GUM
93%
6%
1%
|
54 | 19 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
HKG
0 - 0
PRK
14%
21%
66%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
TWN
0 - 4
HKG
14%
19%
67%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | +1 |