Bahrain vs Philippines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
BHR
0 - 6
COL
16%
26%
59%
|
74 | 92 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2015 |
QAT
1 - 2
BHR
55%
24%
22%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2015 |
BHR
1 - 2
UAE
33%
25%
41%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
IRN
2 - 0
BHR
69%
20%
12%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
JOR
0 - 1
BHR
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Philippines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2014 |
THA
3 - 0
PHL
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
PHL
0 - 0
THA
12%
17%
71%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
VIE
3 - 1
PHL
45%
24%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
PHL
4 - 0
IDN
34%
24%
42%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
PHL
4 - 1
LAO
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | +1 |