Baré EC vs Palmas FR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
26.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baré EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
PRI
0 - 0
BAR
74%
15%
11%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 2
SAO
46%
23%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 0
ARO
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
NAU
2 - 1
BAR
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 2
BAR
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Palmas FR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
PAL
4 - 2
FRA
12%
17%
71%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
PAL
0 - 2
TOC
31%
25%
44%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
TOC
0 - 0
PAL
50%
24%
26%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
PAL
0 - 1
ARA
46%
25%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
INT
3 - 1
PAL
62%
21%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |