Baré EC vs Altos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
68.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baré EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 0
BAR
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 3
SIN
21%
22%
57%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 0
SAO
27%
22%
51%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
RIV
2 - 2
BAR
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 2
MOT
10%
21%
69%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Altos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ALT
3 - 1
RIV
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
JCA
1 - 2
ALT
34%
23%
44%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
ALT
3 - 1
MOT
36%
26%
38%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 4
ALT
26%
24%
50%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ALT
0 - 1
SAO
71%
16%
13%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -2 |