Bardena vs Santa Engracia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
56.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bardena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
DEP
1 - 0
BAR
48%
21%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 1
BIO
54%
21%
26%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
PIN
1 - 2
BAR
26%
21%
53%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BAR
4 - 2
UNC
53%
21%
26%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
BAR
69%
17%
14%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Engracia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
AGR
41%
23%
36%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ALE
2 - 4
SAN
14%
17%
69%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
PUY
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LUN
5 - 0
SAN
51%
21%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
BAR
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |