Barco vs Negreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CER
4 - 1
BAR
64%
21%
15%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ORD
1 - 0
BAR
31%
26%
43%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 1
GAL
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
NEG
2 - 0
BAR
39%
25%
36%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 2
SIL
55%
22%
22%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
NEG
0 - 1
SIL
52%
24%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
NEG
3 - 2
BAR
53%
23%
24%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
RIB
1 - 0
NEG
56%
23%
22%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
NEG
2 - 0
BAR
39%
25%
36%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BER
2 - 2
NEG
42%
27%
31%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |