Barco vs CD Estradense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
37.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
15º
14º
39
4º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ARO
2 - 1
BAR
59%
23%
19%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
DEP
4 - 1
BAR
67%
19%
15%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 1
UPH
67%
19%
14%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ALO
3 - 0
BAR
37%
26%
37%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
RCV
0 - 0
BAR
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Estradense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
EST
3 - 1
RCV
34%
27%
39%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
EST
0 - 1
SOM
44%
26%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
UDO
1 - 1
EST
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
EST
1 - 0
CHO
60%
22%
18%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
ART
1 - 1
EST
32%
24%
43%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |