Barco vs CD Estradense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
37.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
15º
14º
39
4º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ARO
2 - 1
BAR
59%
23%
19%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
DEP
4 - 1
BAR
67%
19%
15%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 1
UPH
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ALO
3 - 0
BAR
37%
26%
37%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
RCV
0 - 0
BAR
56%
22%
22%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Estradense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
EST
3 - 1
RCV
34%
27%
39%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
EST
0 - 1
SOM
44%
26%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
UDO
1 - 1
EST
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
EST
1 - 0
CHO
60%
22%
18%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
ART
1 - 1
EST
32%
24%
43%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |