Barco vs Deportivo Fabril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
OUR
4 - 1
BAR
57%
23%
21%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
EST
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 0
CHO
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
POL
1 - 0
BAR
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
SIL
0 - 1
BAR
37%
25%
38%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
DEP
1 - 1
PON
68%
19%
14%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
RCV
1 - 0
DEP
39%
26%
35%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
DEP
0 - 1
OUR
45%
25%
31%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
DEP
2 - 0
ARN
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
DEP
4 - 1
POL
31%
25%
45%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +3 |