Barco vs CSD Arzua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
SOM
0 - 2
BAR
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 2
ALO
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
PON
0 - 2
BAR
39%
24%
37%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
BAR
5 - 2
SOF
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
DEP
2 - 1
BAR
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CSD Arzua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
SOF
2 - 2
ARZ
23%
24%
53%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ARZ
2 - 1
DEP
35%
26%
39%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ARZ
1 - 1
CHO
46%
25%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
POL
1 - 2
ARZ
67%
19%
13%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
ARZ
1 - 0
VIV
52%
23%
26%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |