Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 2-3
Barcelona vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
7.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
ATH
0 - 0
FCB
49%
26%
25%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
ZUR
3 - 1
FCB
39%
25%
36%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
FCB
1 - 0
ESP
80%
13%
7%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
ZAR
3 - 2
FCB
59%
22%
19%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1967 |
FCB
0 - 2
ATM
69%
18%
14%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
ZUR
3 - 1
FCB
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1966 |
ZUR
0 - 3
CEL
45%
22%
32%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1966 |
CEL
2 - 0
ZUR
68%
17%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1964 |
RMA
6 - 0
ZUR
89%
8%
4%
|
78 | 94 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1964 |
ZUR
1 - 2
RMA
25%
23%
52%
|
78 | 94 | 16 | 0 |