Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Last 16
Global 5-4
Barcelona vs Zagreb XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
94.1%
Win probability
4.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.5%
+10
0.5%
9-0
1.2%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1.5%
8-0
2.5%
9-1
0.7%
10-2
0.1%
+8
3.3%
7-0
4.4%
8-1
1.5%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
6.1%
6-0
7%
7-1
2.6%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
10.1%
5-0
9.4%
6-1
4.1%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
14.4%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
17.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
3.9%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
1.7%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
0.1%
0
3.8%
1.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.2%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
FCB
6 - 2
RSO
94%
4%
2%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1960 |
ZAG
1 - 1
FCB
21%
22%
58%
|
93 | 15 | 78 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
ATM
2 - 0
FCB
36%
23%
41%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1960 |
LIE
0 - 3
FCB
14%
20%
66%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
FCB
2 - 0
RAC
95%
4%
1%
|
93 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Zagreb XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1960 |
ZAG
1 - 1
FCB
21%
22%
58%
|
15 | 93 | 78 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
ZAG
3 - 3
BIR
16%
19%
65%
|
14 | 82 | 68 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1959 |
BIR
1 - 0
ZAG
89%
7%
4%
|
14 | 82 | 68 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1958 |
UJP
1 - 0
ZAG
81%
11%
8%
|
14 | 74 | 60 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1958 |
ZAG
4 - 2
UJP
29%
21%
50%
|
12 | 74 | 62 | +2 |