UEFA Super Cup Final
Global 3-2
Barcelona vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1993 |
ALB
0 - 2
FCB
17%
23%
60%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1993 |
FCB
2 - 0
OVI
86%
10%
4%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
FCB
7 - 2
SPO
85%
10%
5%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1993 |
RBU
0 - 1
FCB
14%
22%
64%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1993 |
FCB
6 - 0
ATM
73%
17%
10%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1993 |
BRE
3 - 0
KSC
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1993 |
LEV
2 - 2
BRE
44%
26%
30%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1993 |
BRE
3 - 0
FCN
63%
22%
16%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1993 |
BRE
1 - 1
FCB
36%
26%
38%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1992 |
BRE
1 - 1
STU
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |