Barcelona vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2002 |
FCB
0 - 2
RMA
50%
23%
27%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
CEL
2 - 1
FCB
43%
24%
33%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
FCB
3 - 2
ALA
72%
17%
11%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2002 |
FCB
3 - 1
PAN
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
ATH
0 - 2
FCB
35%
25%
40%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
ESP
3 - 1
VIL
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
VIL
2 - 1
CEL
35%
26%
39%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
ALA
2 - 1
VIL
57%
23%
21%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
VIL
5 - 2
ATH
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
UDL
3 - 2
VIL
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |