Barcelona vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.2%
9.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
ATH
2 - 0
FCB
56%
20%
24%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
FCB
4 - 0
ATM
67%
17%
16%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
VCF
4 - 2
FCB
60%
19%
21%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
FCB
3 - 1
CEL
73%
14%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
FCB
4 - 1
SAB
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
VAD
4 - 0
SAB
57%
21%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
ALC
2 - 1
VAD
52%
22%
27%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
VAD
3 - 1
GIM
41%
22%
37%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
DEP
5 - 0
VAD
64%
18%
18%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
VAD
2 - 0
RMA
26%
23%
52%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |