Barcelona vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1981 |
ZAR
2 - 2
FCB
32%
26%
42%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1981 |
FCB
5 - 0
HER
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
SEV
2 - 1
FCB
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1981 |
FCB
4 - 0
DUK
83%
11%
6%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
FCB
2 - 0
ATM
70%
18%
13%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1981 |
VCF
1 - 0
CAS
82%
12%
5%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1981 |
SPO
1 - 0
VCF
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
VCF
3 - 2
UDL
75%
16%
10%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1981 |
BOA
1 - 0
VCF
36%
29%
36%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
CAD
0 - 0
VCF
30%
28%
42%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |