Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 6-1
Barcelona vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.1%
9.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1953 |
FCB
3 - 2
ATH
77%
13%
10%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
VAD
0 - 1
FCB
28%
23%
49%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
FCB
2 - 1
VCF
76%
13%
11%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
ESP
0 - 2
FCB
42%
22%
36%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
FCB
1 - 0
RMA
76%
13%
11%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1953 |
ZAR
0 - 2
VCF
25%
24%
51%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
VCF
7 - 1
RAC
78%
13%
9%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
FCB
2 - 1
VCF
76%
13%
11%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
VCF
1 - 2
ATM
66%
17%
17%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
MAL
3 - 3
VCF
39%
23%
38%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |