Barcelona vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
ESP
2 - 1
FCB
44%
23%
33%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
FCB
2 - 1
ATM
62%
19%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1947 |
SEV
4 - 0
FCB
60%
19%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
FCB
4 - 0
SPO
74%
15%
12%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1947 |
RSO
0 - 0
FCB
32%
24%
44%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
VCF
4 - 2
RMA
65%
18%
17%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
GIM
1 - 0
VCF
41%
24%
35%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1947 |
VCF
1 - 0
ALC
77%
13%
10%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
OVI
1 - 0
VCF
45%
23%
32%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1947 |
VCF
3 - 0
ATH
64%
18%
18%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |