Barcelona vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
21.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
DEP
3 - 2
FCB
29%
25%
46%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1946 |
SEV
3 - 1
FCB
60%
19%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1946 |
FCB
1 - 1
CEL
74%
14%
12%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1946 |
FCB
1 - 0
SEV
64%
18%
18%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1946 |
SEV
8 - 0
FCB
58%
19%
23%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
VCF
4 - 1
SEV
67%
17%
16%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1946 |
CEL
1 - 2
VCF
49%
22%
29%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1946 |
VCF
1 - 0
SAB
82%
11%
7%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1946 |
RMA
3 - 1
VCF
62%
19%
19%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1946 |
SEV
1 - 0
VCF
62%
18%
20%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |