Barcelona vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
20.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
SEV
11 - 1
FCB
56%
20%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1940 |
ESP
1 - 1
FCB
61%
18%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
FCB
0 - 2
ESP
60%
19%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
DEP
0 - 1
FCB
27%
21%
52%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1940 |
FCB
4 - 0
DEP
82%
11%
7%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
VCF
2 - 2
ATH
36%
22%
42%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1940 |
VCF
1 - 2
ESP
51%
20%
29%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1940 |
ESP
3 - 1
VCF
66%
17%
17%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1940 |
VCF
4 - 2
HER
60%
20%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
HER
2 - 1
VCF
56%
20%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |