Barcelona vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
21.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
ATM
6 - 0
FCB
63%
18%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
ATH
5 - 3
FCB
76%
13%
11%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
FCB
1 - 0
ATH
45%
22%
33%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
RMA
1 - 2
FCB
69%
16%
15%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
FCB
3 - 0
MUR
83%
11%
7%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
ATH
3 - 0
VCF
79%
11%
9%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
VCF
1 - 1
RMA
43%
23%
35%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
MUR
2 - 5
VCF
22%
19%
59%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
VCF
5 - 1
CEL
72%
15%
13%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
OVI
3 - 3
VCF
61%
18%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |