Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 3-4
Barcelona vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
7.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1931 |
VCF
2 - 2
FCB
31%
23%
47%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1931 |
DBN
1 - 3
FCB
15%
20%
66%
|
87 | 31 | 56 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1931 |
FCB
9 - 0
DBN
91%
6%
3%
|
87 | 31 | 56 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1931 |
FCB
3 - 1
RMA
67%
18%
15%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1931 |
ALA
1 - 1
FCB
29%
23%
48%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1931 |
VCF
2 - 2
FCB
31%
23%
47%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1931 |
ISC
4 - 3
VCF
34%
24%
43%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1931 |
VCF
2 - 0
ISC
76%
14%
10%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1931 |
VCF
6 - 0
BET
65%
18%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1931 |
SPO
2 - 1
VCF
50%
21%
30%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |