Barcelona vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
16.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1924 |
RUN
6 - 1
FCB
23%
23%
55%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1924 |
FCB
2 - 0
RUN
84%
10%
6%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1924 |
RUN
1 - 0
FCB
22%
22%
56%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1924 |
FCB
3 - 1
SPO
74%
14%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1924 |
SPO
2 - 0
FCB
32%
24%
44%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1923 |
SPO
2 - 0
VCF
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1923 |
SPO
6 - 1
VCF
36%
25%
39%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1923 |
VCF
1 - 0
SPO
70%
17%
14%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |