Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 7-3
Barcelona vs Lleida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.6%
Win probability
3.48
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.9%
5-0
8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.6%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
16%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6.8%
2.5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1984 |
FCB
4 - 2
VAD
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1984 |
FCB
2 - 0
HER
82%
13%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1984 |
MAL
1 - 2
FCB
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1984 |
LLE
3 - 1
FCB
11%
20%
69%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1984 |
FCB
1 - 1
VCF
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1984 |
LLE
0 - 0
COM
72%
19%
9%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1984 |
ZAM
2 - 0
LLE
38%
30%
33%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1984 |
LLE
2 - 0
RSO
64%
23%
14%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1984 |
LLE
3 - 1
FCB
11%
20%
69%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 1984 |
BIN
0 - 0
LLE
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |