Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 6-1Barcelona vs Las Palmas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.1%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.7%
3.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 Feb. 1991 |
VAD
1 - 5
FCB
23%
29%
48%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
10 Feb. 1991 |
FCB
4 - 2
BET
88%
9%
3%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
06 Feb. 1991 |
UDL
1 - 0
FCB
23%
29%
49%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
02 Feb. 1991 |
VCF
2 - 2
FCB
36%
28%
36%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
27 Jan. 1991 |
FCB
5 - 2
ESP
88%
9%
3%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Las Palmas
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 Feb. 1991 |
AVI
2 - 0
UDL
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
10 Feb. 1991 |
UDL
2 - 1
DEP
50%
27%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
06 Feb. 1991 |
UDL
1 - 0
FCB
23%
29%
49%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | +1 |
03 Feb. 1991 |
ATH
2 - 1
UDL
54%
23%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
27 Jan. 1991 |
UDL
0 - 1
SSC
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |