Barcelona vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
11.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1981 |
ATH
1 - 2
FCB
55%
23%
23%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1981 |
FCB
2 - 0
ATH
69%
19%
13%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1981 |
FCB
3 - 1
RAY
82%
13%
5%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1981 |
RAY
0 - 3
FCB
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1981 |
FCB
4 - 1
RMC
88%
9%
4%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1981 |
SEV
0 - 0
SPO
44%
27%
29%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1981 |
SPO
2 - 0
SEV
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1981 |
RMA
2 - 3
SPO
76%
16%
9%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1981 |
SPO
1 - 1
RMA
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1981 |
SPO
3 - 0
LEV
84%
10%
6%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |