Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 7-3
Barcelona vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
7.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1935 |
SPO
1 - 2
FCB
28%
21%
51%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1935 |
VCF
1 - 1
FCB
42%
21%
37%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1935 |
FCB
5 - 0
RMA
48%
21%
31%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
RAC
2 - 3
FCB
48%
20%
32%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1935 |
FCB
2 - 3
SEV
73%
15%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1935 |
SPO
1 - 2
FCB
28%
21%
51%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1935 |
SPO
2 - 1
VAD
67%
17%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1935 |
SPO
3 - 0
AVI
76%
13%
10%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1935 |
AVI
2 - 2
SPO
35%
21%
44%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1935 |
SPO
2 - 0
NAM
80%
12%
8%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |