Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 5-3
Barcelona vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
11.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1924 |
SPO
2 - 0
FCB
32%
24%
44%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1924 |
FCB
2 - 0
SPO
75%
14%
11%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1924 |
ZAR
0 - 9
FCB
18%
22%
59%
|
85 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1924 |
FCB
8 - 1
ZAR
86%
9%
5%
|
85 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1922 |
FCB
5 - 1
RUN
90%
7%
3%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1924 |
SPO
2 - 0
FCB
32%
24%
44%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1924 |
FCB
2 - 0
SPO
75%
14%
11%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1924 |
RAC
2 - 3
SPO
50%
22%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1924 |
SPO
7 - 0
RAC
55%
22%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 1923 |
SPO
1 - 2
EUR
80%
13%
7%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | -1 |