Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 5-3
Barcelona vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
10.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1924 |
ZAR
0 - 9
FCB
18%
22%
59%
|
85 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1924 |
FCB
8 - 1
ZAR
86%
9%
5%
|
85 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1922 |
FCB
5 - 1
RUN
90%
7%
3%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1922 |
FCB
7 - 2
SPO
82%
11%
7%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1922 |
SPO
1 - 1
FCB
29%
24%
47%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1924 |
RAC
2 - 3
SPO
50%
22%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1924 |
SPO
7 - 0
RAC
55%
22%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 1923 |
SPO
1 - 2
EUR
80%
13%
7%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1923 |
EUR
3 - 2
SPO
21%
22%
57%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1923 |
SPO
2 - 0
VCF
40%
24%
36%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |