Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 3-2Barcelona vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 Feb. 2021 |
SEV
0 - 2
FCB
31%
24%
45%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
24 Feb. 2021 |
FCB
3 - 0
ELC
89%
8%
3%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
21 Feb. 2021 |
FCB
1 - 1
CAD
90%
7%
2%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
16 Feb. 2021 |
FCB
1 - 4
PSG
65%
18%
17%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
13 Feb. 2021 |
FCB
5 - 1
ALA
87%
9%
4%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 Feb. 2021 |
SEV
0 - 2
FCB
31%
24%
45%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
22 Feb. 2021 |
OSA
0 - 2
SEV
20%
24%
57%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
17 Feb. 2021 |
SEV
2 - 3
BVB
46%
23%
31%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
13 Feb. 2021 |
SEV
1 - 0
HUE
77%
16%
8%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
10 Feb. 2021 |
SEV
2 - 0
FCB
27%
24%
49%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |